UMPIRY
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Lilian Poling vs Cadence Brace — W50 Quebec City Round of 32

W50 Quebec CityR32HardWed 14 Oct · 19:05
Lilian PolingWTA #959 · USA18%
VSStrong favourite · Brace C.
Cadence Brace(3)WTA #262 · CAN82%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Brace C.
18%82%

Clear edge for Brace C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Poling L.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Brace C.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 491
Hard ELO1 480
Last 104–6
Age28
EarningsCareer $23K2026 $5K
ELO1 627
Hard ELO1 596
Last 105–5
Age21
EarningsCareer $283K2026 $133K

Lilian Poling faces Cadence Brace in the W50 Quebec City round of 32 on hard. Cadence Brace holds the paper edge — ranked #262. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Lilian Poling carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Lilian Poling 4 of 10, Cadence Brace 5 of 10 on hard recently — Cadence Brace the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Poling L.Brace C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate32% (6–13)46% (17–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14911627 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14801596 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 19 vs 32 matches
1st-serve points won53%60% (ahead)
Return points won45%46% (ahead)
Aces / match0.70.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 19 vs 32 matches
Break points saved48%53% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

19:05 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast4°C · Rain
Wind27 km/h
Humidity90%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lilian Poling vs Cadence Brace — W50 Quebec City Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/brace-vs-poling-w50-quebec-city-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).