Zuzanna Bednarz vs Melissa Boyden — W15 Chisinau Round of 64

W15 ChisinauR64ClayWed 14 Oct · 09:35
VSClear favourite · Bednarz Z.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Bednarz Z.
73%27%

Clear edge for Bednarz Z. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bednarz Z.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Boyden M.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 545
Clay ELO1 528
Last 107–3
Age21
ELO1 472
Clay ELO1 465
Last 103–7
Age23

Zuzanna Bednarz faces Melissa Boyden in the W15 Chisinau round of 64 on clay. Zuzanna Bednarz brings the better recent clay form (5 of 7).

Key context

  • Surface form: Zuzanna Bednarz 5 of 7, Melissa Boyden 1 of 7 on clay recently — Zuzanna Bednarz the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Zuzanna Bednarz carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bednarz Z.Boyden M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate56% (15–12) (ahead)24% (4–13)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1545 (ahead)1472
Clay-court ELO1528 (ahead)1465
Serve vs returnLast 25 vs 15 matches
1st-serve points won64% (ahead)53%
Return points won50% (ahead)42%
Aces / match2.4 (ahead)1.7
ClutchLast 25 vs 15 matches
Break points saved50% (ahead)46%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:35 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast9°C · Overcast
Wind16 km/h
Humidity78%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Zuzanna Bednarz vs Melissa Boyden — W15 Chisinau Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/bednarz-vs-boyden-w15-chisinau-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).