UMPIRY
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Stefanie Auer vs Mika Buchnik — W35 Heraklion Round of 32

W35 HeraklionR32HardWed 14 Oct · 10:35
Stefanie AuerWTA #1363 · AUT29%
VSClear favourite · Buchnik M.
Mika BuchnikWTA #808 · ISR71%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Buchnik M.
29%71%

Clear edge for Buchnik M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Auer S.4.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Buchnik M.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Surface switchClay → HardAgainst the prediction · Auer S.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 435
Hard ELO1 468
Last 104–6
Age24
EarningsCareer $13K2026 $2K
ELO1 523
Hard ELO1 523
Last 108–2
Age19
EarningsCareer $17K2026 $6K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Auer S.Buchnik M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–68–2 (ahead)
Season win rate32% (6–13)67% (16–8) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14351523 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14681523 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 12 vs 8 matches
1st-serve points won49%55% (ahead)
Return points won41%51% (ahead)
Aces / match0.6 (ahead)0.4
ClutchLast 12 vs 8 matches
Break points saved48% (ahead)31%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:35 local
SurfaceHard · slow
Forecast28°C · Clear
Wind19 km/h
Humidity49%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Stefanie Auer vs Mika Buchnik — W35 Heraklion Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/auer-vs-buchnik-w35-heraklion-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).