UMPIRY
EN

Michael Antonius vs Andrew Fenty — M25 Austin Round of 32

M25 AustinR32HardWed 14 Oct · 11:30
Michael AntoniusATP #632 · USA33%
VSClear favourite · Fenty A.
Andrew FentyATP #466 · USA67%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Fenty A.
33%67%

Clear edge for Fenty A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Antonius M.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Fenty A.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 58% in USA (95)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 536
Hard ELO1 512
Last 106–4
Age16
EarningsCareer $12K2026 $10K
ELO1 602
Hard ELO1 577
Last 105–5
Age26
EarningsCareer $90K2026 $25K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Antonius M.Fenty A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate60% (6–4) (ahead)44% (14–18)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15361602 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15121577 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 4 vs 29 matches
1st-serve points won67%68% (ahead)
Return points won38% (ahead)37%
Aces / match1.04.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 4 vs 29 matches
Break points saved71% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast30°C · Mainly clear
Wind17 km/h
Humidity66%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Antonius M.Fenty A.
17 — fresherDays since last match14
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
0 — fresherMatches · 14 days1
0 — fresherGames · 14 days20
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Michael Antonius vs Andrew Fenty — M25 Austin Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/antonius-vs-fenty-m25-austin-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).