Francisco Comesana vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

UMPIRY

Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2R16ClayWed 14 Oct · 09:00

Francisco Comesana(1)ATP #125 · ARG68%

VSClear favourite · Comesana F.

Felipe Meligeni AlvesATP #453 · BRA32%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Comesana F.

68%32%

Clear edge for Comesana F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Comesana F.6.7/10

Slight advantage

Meligeni Alves F.5.2/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+188 Clay Elo edgeSupports Comesana F.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1695Supports Comesana F.

Head-to-headLeads 4–1 on claySupports Comesana F.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Meligeni Alves F.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 851

Clay ELO1 772

Last 103–7

Age26

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $626K

ELO1 742

Clay ELO1 738

Last 104–6

Age28

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.4M2026 $58K

Francisco Comesana faces Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 round of 16 on clay. Francisco Comesana is the paper favourite — ranked #125, leading the head-to-head 4–1, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage — but Felipe Meligeni Alves arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Francisco Comesana's 2 of 5.

Key context

Freshness: Francisco Comesana comes in with 1 days of rest and 60 games in 14d, vs Felipe Meligeni Alves's 1 and 97.
Last match: Felipe Meligeni Alves advanced when Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo retired.
Head-to-head: Francisco Comesana leads the head-to-head 4–1. Last met at Santiago 2025.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Comesana F. leads 4–1

Comesana F.February 2025SantiagoClay7-6 7-6
Comesana F.November 2024Sao Paulo CHClay6-3 6-4
Comesana F.August 2023Santo Domingo CHClay6-4 0-0
Meligeni Alves F.October 2022Lima CHClay6-2 6-0
Comesana F.June 2022Buenos Aires CHClay6-3 6-2

Evidence

Comesana F.Meligeni Alves F.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–74–6

Season win rate43% (18–24)60% (26–17)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18511742

Clay-court ELO17721738

Serve vs returnLast 36 vs 29 matches

1st-serve points won72%65%

Return points won37%41%

Aces / match7.22.1

ClutchLast 36 vs 29 matches

Break points saved56%66%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast20°C · Mainly clear

Wind6 km/h

Humidity65%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Comesana F.Meligeni Alves F.

1Days since last match1

2Matches · 7 days4

60Games · 7 days60

2Matches · 14 days6

60Games · 14 days97

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Francisco Comesana vs Felipe Meligeni Alves — Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/alves-vs-comesana-santa-cruz-de-la-sierra-2-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).