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Eli Stephenson vs Bjorn Swenson — M15 Lexington Qualifying Round of 16

M15 LexingtonQ16QualifyingHardTue 13 Oct · 10:05Live
Eli StephensonUSA
Bjorn SwensonUSA
SetsGamesGame1
73
0
54
00
Odds

No breaks in the 2nd

Eli Stephenson faces Bjorn Swenson in the M15 Lexington qualifying round of 16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Bjorn Swenson carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Eli Stephenson 5 of 10, Bjorn Swenson 4 of 10 on hard recently — Eli Stephenson the sharper of late.
Serve flowStephenson E. broken once · Swenson B. broken twice.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Stephenson E.
8/9Swenson B.
8/10
Set 1Set 2

Match momentum

Last 30 pointsStephenson E.Swenson B.
EvenStephenson…Swenson B.
Swinging toSwenson B.9
6Last 12 points6
7Last 3 games4
2/4Break points1/3
30 pointsNow

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Stephenson E.Swenson B.
Serve
  • 3Aces3
  • 3Double faults2
  • 78%1st serve points won59%
  • 89% · 8/9Service games held80% · 8/10
Return
  • 50%Break points won33%
  • 2Breaks of serve1

Key moments

Latest first
  1. SETSet 1 · Game 12Stephenson E. took the set
  2. BREAKSet 1 · Game 11Stephenson E. broke serve
  3. BREAKSet 1 · Game 10Swenson B. broke serve
  4. BREAKSet 1 · Game 7Stephenson E. broke serve
  5. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 4Stephenson E. held to love
  6. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 3Swenson B. held to love
  7. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 1Swenson B. held to love
Pre-match context

Swenson B. came in with the higher hard rating (1515 vs 1501); Stephenson E. with the better recent record (5–5 vs 4–6).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
33%67%
Umpiry Score
5.7/10/106.1
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO1 497
Hard ELO1 501
Last 105–5
Age21
ELO1 516
Hard ELO1 515
Last 104–6
Age23

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Stephenson E.Swenson B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate43% (3–4) (ahead)40% (2–3)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14971516 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15011515 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 2 matches each
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)65%
Return points won39%44% (ahead)
Aces / match2.02.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 2 matches each
Break points saved17%46% (ahead)

Draw

Conditions

10:05 local
SurfaceHard
Weather22°C · Clear
Wind17 km/h
Humidity63%

Match info

  • Started10:05 local

Cite this

Umpiry, "Eli Stephenson vs Bjorn Swenson — M15 Lexington Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/stephenson-vs-swenson-m15-lexington-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).