Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Keegan Smith — Jinan Round of 32
Why
Surface+171 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sakellaridis S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1630Supports Sakellaridis S.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Sakellaridis S.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 773
Hard ELO1 672
Last 104–6
Age22
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $442K2026 $226K
ELO1 689
Hard ELO1 646
Last 103–7
Age28
Height201 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $255K2026 $108K
Stefanos Sakellaridis faces Keegan Smith in the Jinan round of 32 on hard. Stefanos Sakellaridis is the paper favourite — ranked #135, a roughly 170-point hard Elo advantage — but Keegan Smith arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 6 on hard to Stefanos Sakellaridis's 2 of 6.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Stefanos Sakellaridis 38 games in 14 days, Keegan Smith 116.
- Under pressure: Stefanos Sakellaridis has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 46 vs Keegan Smith's 26).
- Surface form: Stefanos Sakellaridis 2 of 6, Keegan Smith 3 of 6 on hard recently — Keegan Smith the sharper of late.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Sakellaridis S.Smith K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate63% (40–23) (ahead)53% (31–27)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1773 (ahead)1689
Hard-court ELO1672 (ahead)1646
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 36 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)72%
Return points won37% (ahead)34%
Aces / match7.38.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 54 vs 36 matches
Break points saved61%67% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Keegan Smith — Jinan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/sakellaridis-vs-smith-jinan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).