J. Roddick vs Aryan Shah | M25 Austin Qualifying Round of 16

UMPIRY

M25 AustinQ16QualifyingHardTue 13 Oct · 11:35

J. RoddickATP #895 · USA22%

VSClear favourite · Shah A.

Aryan ShahIND78%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Shah A.

22%78%

Clear edge for Shah A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Roddick J.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Shah A.3.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form2 of last 10 on hardInformative

CountryWon 48% in USA (25)Informative

Recent runLost last 2Both players

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 519

Hard ELO1 514

Last 108–2

Age24

ELO1 610

Hard ELO1 601

Last 106–4

Age20

J. Roddick faces Aryan Shah in the M25 Austin qualifying round of 16 on hard. J. Roddick brings the better recent hard form (8 of 10).

Key context

Last match: Aryan Shah handed Matthew Vos a second-set bagel in a 6–1 6–0 win.
Fatigue load: Aryan Shah carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: J. Roddick 8 of 10, Aryan Shah 6 of 10 on hard recently — J. Roddick the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Roddick J.Shah A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–26–4

Season win rate52% (11–10)44% (8–10)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15191610

Hard-court ELO15141601

Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 12 matches

1st-serve points won71%67%

Return points won45%36%

Aces / match3.21.7

ClutchLast 11 vs 12 matches

Break points saved58%56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:35 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast31°C · Mainly clear

Wind19 km/h

Humidity63%

Cite this

Umpiry, "J. Roddick vs Aryan Shah — M25 Austin Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/roddick-vs-shah-m25-austin-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).