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Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Nikola Slavic — M15 Lexington Round of 32

M15 LexingtonR32HardTue 13 Oct · 13:05
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen(7)ATP #726 · DEN29%
VSClear favourite · Slavic N.
Nikola SlavicATP #824 · SWE71%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Slavic N.
29%71%

Clear edge for Slavic N. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Brostrom Poulsen O.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Slavic N.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form2 of last 5 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 510
Hard ELO1 533
Last 103–7
Age24
EarningsCareer $28K2026 $8K
ELO1 583
Hard ELO1 545
Last 105–5
Age26
EarningsCareer $40K2026 $9K

Oskar Brostrom Poulsen faces Nikola Slavic in the M15 Lexington round of 32 on hard. Oskar Brostrom Poulsen is the paper favourite — ranked #726 — but Nikola Slavic arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 6 on hard to Oskar Brostrom Poulsen's 2 of 6.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Brostrom Poulsen O.Slavic N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–75–5 (ahead)
Season win rate36% (5–9)50% (10–10) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15101583 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15331545 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 10 vs 16 matches
1st-serve points won75% (ahead)69%
Return points won35%39% (ahead)
Aces / match10.4 (ahead)5.3
ClutchLast 10 vs 16 matches
Break points saved68% (ahead)50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:05 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast29°C · Clear
Wind19 km/h
Humidity36%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Nikola Slavic — M15 Lexington Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/poulsen-vs-slavic-m15-lexington-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).