Martina Capurro Taborda vs Kristina Penickova — W100 Edmond Round of 32

W100 EdmondR32HardTue 13 Oct · 13:05
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Capurro Taborda M.
70%30%

Clear edge for Capurro Taborda M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Capurro Taborda M.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Penickova K.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form2 of last 7 on hardAgainst the prediction · Penickova K.
Recent runLost last 5Informative
CountryWon 53% in USA (36)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 658
Hard ELO1 519
Last 105–5
Age28
PlaysLeft
ELO1 547
Hard ELO1 531
Last 105–5
Age17
PlaysRight

Martina Capurro Taborda faces Kristina Penickova in the W100 Edmond round of 32 on hard. Martina Capurro Taborda is the paper favourite — ranked #268 — but Kristina Penickova arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 4 on hard to Martina Capurro Taborda's 1 of 4.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Capurro Taborda M.Penickova K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate62% (26–16) (ahead)55% (11–9)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1658 (ahead)1547
Hard-court ELO15191531 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 42 vs 12 matches
1st-serve points won58%64% (ahead)
Return points won49% (ahead)46%
Aces / match0.42.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 42 vs 12 matches
Break points saved52%56% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:05 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast33°C · Clear
Wind23 km/h
Humidity51%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Martina Capurro Taborda vs Kristina Penickova — W100 Edmond Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/penickova-vs-taborda-w100-edmond-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).