Francesco Passaro vs Tiago Torres | Maia Round of 32

UMPIRY

MaiaR32ClayTue 13 Oct · 11:00

Francesco PassaroATP #229 · ITA80%

VSStrong favourite · Passaro F.

Tiago TorresATP #365 · POR20%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Passaro F.

80%20%

Clear edge for Passaro F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Passaro F.6.8/10

Slight advantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Torres T.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form7 of last 10 on claySupports Passaro F.

Recent run5-match win streakSupports Passaro F.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Torres T.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 841

Clay ELO1 734

Last 107–3

Age25

EarningsCareer $1.5M2026 $100K

ELO1 626

Clay ELO1 552

Last 103–7

Age24

EarningsCareer $73K2026 $42K

Francesco Passaro faces Tiago Torres in the Maia round of 32 on clay. Francesco Passaro holds the paper edge — ranked #229.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Francesco Passaro 83 games in 14 days, Tiago Torres 48.
Form trend: Francesco Passaro's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Tiago Torres's has cooled.
Surface form: Francesco Passaro 5 of 5, Tiago Torres 2 of 5 on clay recently — Francesco Passaro the sharper of late.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Passaro F. and Torres T. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Passaro F. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Torres T. 1–0 (100%).

0–10%Passaro F. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Torres T. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–2Sets2–0

14–17Games12–8

0–1Tiebreaks0–0

0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Tabilo A.#30L6-4 6-7 2-6Rio de Janeiro · clayW6-4 6-4Estoril · clay

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Passaro F.Torres T.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–33–7

Season win rate58% (22–16)58% (18–13)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18411626

Clay-court ELO17341552

Serve vs returnLast 26 vs 27 matches

1st-serve points won71%68%

Return points won38%44%

Aces / match4.52.6

ClutchLast 26 vs 27 matches

Break points saved62%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceClay · slow

Forecast19°C · Partly cloudy

Wind3 km/h

Humidity80%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Passaro F.Torres T.

1Days since last match4

4Matches · 7 days1

83Games · 7 days20

4Matches · 14 days2

83Games · 14 days48

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Francesco Passaro vs Tiago Torres — Maia Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/passaro-vs-torres-maia-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).