Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Mateo Del Pino — M15 Quito Round of 128

M15 QuitoR128ClayTue 13 Oct · 11:35
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Del Pino M.
37%63%

Del Pino M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Osorio J.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Del Pino M.4.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Osorio J.
Recent runLost last 3Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 529
Clay ELO1 501
Last 106–4
Age28
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 559
Clay ELO1 558
Last 102–8
Age23
Height173 cm
PlaysLeft

Juan Sebastian Osorio faces Mateo Del Pino in the M15 Quito round of 128 on clay. Juan Sebastian Osorio brings the better recent clay form (3 of 6).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Osorio J.Del Pino M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate54% (14–12) (ahead)22% (4–14)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15291559 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15011558 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 16 vs 14 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)52%
Return points won39%44% (ahead)
Aces / match3.5 (ahead)0.6
ClutchLast 16 vs 14 matches
Break points saved58% (ahead)46%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:35 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast19°C · Drizzle
Wind13 km/h
Humidity53%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Mateo Del Pino — M15 Quito Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/osorio-vs-pino-m15-quito-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).