Rafael Tosetto vs Ignacio Monzon | M15 Maringa Round of 128

UMPIRY

M15 MaringaR128ClayTue 13 Oct · 11:35

Rafael TosettoATP #863 · BRA29%

VSClear favourite · Monzon I.

Ignacio Monzon(3)ATP #569 · ARG71%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Monzon I.

29%71%

Clear edge for Monzon I. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Tosetto R.5.8/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Monzon I.6.0/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on claySupports Monzon I.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on claySupports Monzon I.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 544

Clay ELO1 529

Last 106–4

Age27

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $33K2026 $9K

ELO1 603

Clay ELO1 594

Last 108–2

Age28

Height173 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $125K2026 $12K

Rafael Tosetto faces Ignacio Monzon in the M15 Maringa round of 128 on clay. Ignacio Monzon holds the paper edge — ranked #569, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Head-to-head: Ignacio Monzon leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Piracicaba CH 2024.
Surface form: Rafael Tosetto 3 of 6, Ignacio Monzon 4 of 6 on clay recently — Ignacio Monzon the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Monzon I. leads 1–0

Monzon I.January 2024Piracicaba CHClay7-5 6-1

Evidence

Tosetto R.Monzon I.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–48–2

Season win rate55% (16–13)61% (22–14)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15441603

Clay-court ELO15291594

Serve vs returnLast 25 vs 23 matches

1st-serve points won66%62%

Return points won40%46%

Aces / match2.80.4

ClutchLast 25 vs 23 matches

Break points saved53%50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:35 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast27°C · Overcast

Wind7 km/h

Humidity67%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Rafael Tosetto vs Ignacio Monzon — M15 Maringa Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/monzon-vs-tosetto-m15-maringa-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).