Marco Trungelliti faces Thiago Monteiro in the Maia round of 32 on clay. Marco Trungelliti is the paper favourite — ranked #90, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage — but Thiago Monteiro has won 3 of their 5 previous meetings.
Umpiry, "Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro — Maia Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/monteiro-vs-trungelliti-maia-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).