Marko Mesarovic vs A. Moreno — M15 Lexington Qualifying Round of 16
Marko Mesarovic faces A. Moreno in the M15 Lexington qualifying round of 16 on hard. Marko Mesarovic brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).
Key context
- Last match: A. Moreno dropped the opening set before beating D. Kliebhan 2–6 6–4 10–8.
- Surface form: Marko Mesarovic 7 of 10, A. Moreno 3 of 10 on hard recently — Marko Mesarovic the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: A. Moreno carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Serve flowMesarovic M. unbroken.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Mesarovic M.1/1Moreno A.
Set 1
Match momentumLive
Too early to read the momentum
Key moments
Latest first- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 1Mesarovic M. held to love
Pre-match context
Mesarovic M. came in with the higher hard rating (1547 vs 1499) and the better recent record (7–3 vs 3–7).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
68%32%
Umpiry Score
5.7/10/104.9
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Mesarovic M.Moreno A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate53% (8–7) (ahead)29% (2–5)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1550 (ahead)1499
Hard-court ELO1547 (ahead)1499
Serve vs returnLast 9 vs 1 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)52%
Return points won39% (ahead)36%
Aces / match3.3 (ahead)0.0
ClutchLast 9 vs 1 matches
Break points saved71% (ahead)33%
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Marko Mesarovic vs A. Moreno — M15 Lexington Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/mesarovic-vs-moreno-m15-lexington-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).