UMPIRY
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Clemence Mercier vs Sara Saito — W50 Quebec City Round of 32

W50 Quebec CityR32HardTue 13 Oct · 14:05
Clemence MercierCAN12%
VSStrong favourite · Saito S.
Sara Saito(5)WTA #271 · JPN88%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Saito S.
12%88%

Clear edge for Saito S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 8 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mercier C.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Saito S.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 500
Hard ELO1 489
Last 103–7
ELO1 652
Hard ELO1 601
Last 106–4

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mercier C.Saito S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–76–4 (ahead)
Season win rate0% (0–2)50% (18–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15001652 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14891601 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 2 vs 36 matches
1st-serve points won52%58% (ahead)
Return points won40%48% (ahead)
Aces / match2.0 (ahead)0.8
ClutchLast 2 vs 36 matches
Break points saved56%56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:05 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast4°C · Drizzle
Wind27 km/h
Humidity88%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Clemence Mercier vs Sara Saito — W50 Quebec City Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/mercier-vs-saito-w50-quebec-city-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).