Shu Matsuoka vs Dominick Mosejczuk — M25 Austin Qualifying Round of 16
Shu Matsuoka faces Dominick Mosejczuk in the M25 Austin qualifying round of 16 on hard. Dominick Mosejczuk brings the better recent hard form (8 of 10).
Key context
- Last match: Dominick Mosejczuk dropped just 5 games past Oren Vasser.
- Surface form: Shu Matsuoka 4 of 10, Dominick Mosejczuk 8 of 10 on hard recently — Dominick Mosejczuk the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Dominick Mosejczuk carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Serve flowMatsuoka S. broken twice · Mosejczuk D. broken once.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Matsuoka S.3/5Mosejczuk D.4/5
Set 1
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsMatsuoka S.Mosejczuk D.Swinging toMosejczuk D.23
5Last 12 points7
10Last 3 games12
1/4Break points2/3
30 pointsNow
Key moments
Latest first- SETSet 1 · Game 10Mosejczuk D. took the set
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 5Mosejczuk D. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 4Matsuoka S. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 3Mosejczuk D. broke serve
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 2Mosejczuk D. held to love
Pre-match context
Mosejczuk D. came in with the higher hard rating (1520 vs 1505) and the better recent record (8–2 vs 4–6).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
41%59%
Umpiry Score
4.5/10/104.5
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Matsuoka S.Mosejczuk D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–68–2 (ahead)
Season win rate29% (2–5)77% (10–3) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15081525 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15051520 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 4 vs 6 matches
1st-serve points won62%71% (ahead)
Return points won34%45% (ahead)
Aces / match3.86.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 4 vs 6 matches
Break points saved57%69% (ahead)
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Shu Matsuoka vs Dominick Mosejczuk — M25 Austin Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/matsuoka-vs-mosejczuk-m25-austin-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).