UMPIRY
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Martha Matoula vs Georgia Pedone — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Round of 32

Lisboa Belem Open - LisbonR32ClayTue 13 Oct · 10:00
Martha MatoulaWTA #290 · GRE39%
VSSlight edge · Pedone G.
Georgia PedoneWTA #282 · ITA61%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Pedone G.
39%61%

Pedone G. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Matoula M.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Pedone G.4.9/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+59 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Matoula M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1400Against the prediction · Matoula M.
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 627
Clay ELO1 613
Last 105–5
Age29
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $128K2026 $33K
ELO1 661
Clay ELO1 637
Last 106–4
Age22
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $240K2026 $40K

Martha Matoula faces Georgia Pedone in the Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon round of 32 on clay. Georgia Pedone holds the paper edge — ranked #282. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Martha Matoula carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Matoula M.Pedone G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (26–21)64% (42–24) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16271661 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16131637 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 41 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won58% (ahead)53%
Return points won48%51% (ahead)
Aces / match0.8 (ahead)0.0
ClutchLast 41 vs 58 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast19°C · Mainly clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity78%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Martha Matoula vs Georgia Pedone — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/matoula-vs-pedone-lisboa-belem-open-lisbon-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).