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Ryuki Matsuda vs Maan Kesharwani — M25 Solapur Round of 32

M25 SolapurR32HardTue 13 Oct · 10:51
Ryuki MatsudaATP #692 · JPN72%
VSClear favourite · Matsuda R.
Maan KesharwaniIND28%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Matsuda R.
72%28%

Clear edge for Matsuda R. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Matsuda R.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Kesharwani M.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 590
Hard ELO1 576
Last 106–4
Age26
EarningsCareer $111K2026 $10K
ELO1 536
Hard ELO1 519
Last 105–5
Age25
EarningsCareer $13K2026 $3K

Ryuki Matsuda faces Maan Kesharwani in the M25 Solapur round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Ryuki Matsuda carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Ryuki Matsuda 6 of 10, Maan Kesharwani 5 of 10 on hard recently — Ryuki Matsuda the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Matsuda R.Kesharwani M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate49% (19–20) (ahead)45% (5–6)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1590 (ahead)1536
Hard-court ELO1576 (ahead)1519
Serve vs returnLast 26 vs 5 matches
1st-serve points won67%70% (ahead)
Return points won39% (ahead)37%
Aces / match2.65.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 26 vs 5 matches
Break points saved57%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:51 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast33°C · Clear
Wind10 km/h
Humidity35%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ryuki Matsuda vs Maan Kesharwani — M25 Solapur Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/kesharwani-vs-matsuda-m25-solapur-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).