Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Bouzas Maneiro J.
91%9%
Clear edge for Bouzas Maneiro J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 11 such matches.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bouzas Maneiro J.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Ivantsiv M.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Surface switchHard → ClayBoth players
ELO1 851
Clay ELO1 693
Last 106–4
Age24
EarningsCareer $3.3M2026 $1.0M
ELO1 500
Clay ELO1 496
Last 104–5
Age19
EarningsCareer $7K2026 $7K
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Bouzas Maneiro J.Ivantsiv M.
FormLast 10 vs 9 matches · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)4–5
Season win rate46% (24–28) (ahead)44% (4–5)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1851 (ahead)1500
Clay-court ELO1693 (ahead)1496
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 7 matches
1st-serve points won60% (ahead)48%
Return points won46% (ahead)42%
Aces / match1.3 (ahead)0.6
ClutchLast 48 vs 7 matches
Break points saved49% (ahead)36%
Draw
Odds
Conditions
10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast18°C · Mainly clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity78%
Cite this
Umpiry, "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Milana Ivantsiv — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/ivantsiv-vs-maneiro-lisboa-belem-open-lisbon-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).