Carmen Andreea Herea vs Alina Shcherbinina

UMPIRY

W100 EdmondQ16QualifyingHardTue 13 Oct · 11:35

Carmen Andreea HereaWTA #469 · ROU76%

VSClear favourite · Herea C.

Alina ShcherbininaWTA #533 · RUS24%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Herea C.

76%24%

Clear edge for Herea C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Herea C.4.6/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Shcherbinina A.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form3 of last 5 on hardInformative

CountryWon 56% in USA (27)Supports Herea C.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 604

Hard ELO1 530

Last 106–4

Age20

ELO1 510

Hard ELO1 502

Last 105–5

Age23

Carmen Andreea Herea faces Alina Shcherbinina in the W100 Edmond qualifying round of 16 on hard. Carmen Andreea Herea holds the paper edge — ranked #469. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Alina Shcherbinina handed Rose Marie Nijkamp a second-set bagel in a 6–4 6–0 win.
Surface form: Carmen Andreea Herea 6 of 10, Alina Shcherbinina 5 of 10 on hard recently — Carmen Andreea Herea the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Herea C.Shcherbinina A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–45–5

Season win rate58% (11–8)50% (4–4)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16041510

Hard-court ELO15301502

Serve vs returnLast 13 vs 7 matches

1st-serve points won65%56%

Return points won43%51%

Aces / match1.80.6

ClutchLast 13 vs 7 matches

Break points saved58%55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:35 local

SurfaceHard · medium-fast

Forecast31°C · Clear

Wind23 km/h

Humidity54%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Carmen Andreea Herea vs Alina Shcherbinina — W100 Edmond Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/herea-vs-shcherbinina-w100-edmond-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).