Andrea Pellegrino faces Lorenzo Giustino in the Maia round of 32 on clay. Andrea Pellegrino is the paper favourite — ranked #145, a roughly 300-point clay Elo advantage — but Lorenzo Giustino has won 3 of their 4 previous meetings. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Umpiry, "Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino — Maia Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/giustino-vs-pellegrino-maia-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).