Akasha Urhobo vs Xinyu Gao — W100 Edmond Round of 32

W100 EdmondR32HardTue 13 Oct · 13:05
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Gao X.
33%67%

Clear edge for Gao X. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Urhobo A.4.9/10
Heavy underdog
Gao X.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+44 Hard Elo edgeSupports Gao X.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1592Against the prediction · Urhobo A.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
CountryWon 64% in USA (170)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 655
Hard ELO1 508
Last 103–7
Age19
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $330K2026 $199K
ELO1 707
Hard ELO1 641
Last 105–5
Age28
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $687K2026 $132K

Akasha Urhobo faces Xinyu Gao in the W100 Edmond round of 32 on hard. Akasha Urhobo is the paper favourite — ranked #173 — but Xinyu Gao arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 5 on hard to Akasha Urhobo's 1 of 5.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Urhobo A.Gao X.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–75–5 (ahead)
Season win rate67% (30–15) (ahead)58% (30–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16551707 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15081641 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 45 matches each
1st-serve points won63% (ahead)61%
Return points won47% (ahead)46%
Aces / match3.3 (ahead)1.4
ClutchLast 45 matches each
Break points saved51%52% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:05 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast33°C · Clear
Wind22 km/h
Humidity49%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Akasha Urhobo vs Xinyu Gao — W100 Edmond Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/gao-vs-urhobo-w100-edmond-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).