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Jacob Fearnley vs Daniil Glinka — Olbia Round of 32

OlbiaR32HardTue 13 Oct · 11:00
Jacob Fearnley(1)ATP #96 · GBR67%
VSClear favourite · Fearnley J.
Daniil GlinkaATP #178 · EST33%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Fearnley J.
67%33%

Clear edge for Fearnley J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Fearnley J.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Glinka D.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+74 Hard Elo edgeSupports Fearnley J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1600Supports Fearnley J.
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Fearnley J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 889
Hard ELO1 731
Last 106–4
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $611K
ELO1 744
Hard ELO1 689
Last 106–4
Age26
Height188 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $307K2026 $170K

Jacob Fearnley faces Daniil Glinka in the Olbia round of 32 on hard. Jacob Fearnley holds the paper edge — ranked #96, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Jacob Fearnley comes in with 11 days of rest and 31 games in 14d, vs Daniil Glinka's 1 and 144.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jacob Fearnley has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 85 vs 23).
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Fearnley J.Glinka D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate57% (31–23) (ahead)54% (34–29)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1889 (ahead)1744
Hard-court ELO1731 (ahead)1689
Serve vs returnLast 32 vs 50 matches
1st-serve points won70%71% (ahead)
Return points won39%39%
Aces / match5.35.3
ClutchLast 32 vs 50 matches
Break points saved58%58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-slow
Forecast22°C · Clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity47%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Fearnley J.Glinka D.
11 — fresherDays since last match1
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days5
0 — fresherGames · 7 days124
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
31 — fresherGames · 14 days144
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jacob Fearnley vs Daniil Glinka — Olbia Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/fearnley-vs-glinka-olbia-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).