UMPIRY
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Jennifer Rosa Dourado vs Luna Maria Cinalli — W15 Maceio Round of 32

W15 MaceioR32ClayTue 13 Oct · 11:35
Jennifer Rosa DouradoBRA24%
VSClear favourite · Cinalli L.
Luna Maria Cinalli(5)WTA #717 · ARG76%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Cinalli L.
24%76%

Clear edge for Cinalli L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Rosa Dourado J.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Cinalli L.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Surface switchHard → ClayBoth players
ELO1 424
Clay ELO1 434
Last 106–4
Age25
ELO1 528
Clay ELO1 526
Last 106–4
Age18

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Rosa Dourado J.Cinalli L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate43% (10–13)52% (16–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14241528 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO14341526 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 21 vs 27 matches
1st-serve points won58% (ahead)56%
Return points won44%49% (ahead)
Aces / match0.9 (ahead)0.6
ClutchLast 21 vs 27 matches
Break points saved46%54% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:35 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast29°C · Drizzle
Wind18 km/h
Humidity63%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jennifer Rosa Dourado vs Luna Maria Cinalli — W15 Maceio Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/cinalli-vs-dourado-w15-maceio-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).