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Jo Yee Chan vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez — W35 Redding Round of 32

W35 ReddingR32HardTue 13 Oct · 13:05
Jo Yee ChanWTA #651 · USA27%
VSClear favourite · Reasco Gonzalez M.
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez(4)WTA #354 · ECU73%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Reasco Gonzalez M.
27%73%

Clear edge for Reasco Gonzalez M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Yee Chan J.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Reasco Gonzalez M.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 61% in USA (46)Against the prediction · Yee Chan J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 550
Hard ELO1 542
Last 104–6
Age22
EarningsCareer $10K2026 $7K
ELO1 622
Hard ELO1 562
Last 103–7
Age24
EarningsCareer $70K2026 $25K

Jo Yee Chan faces Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez in the W35 Redding round of 32 on hard. Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez holds the paper edge — ranked #354. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 7 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Yee Chan J.Reasco Gonzalez M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate55% (18–15) (ahead)51% (21–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15501622 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15421562 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 16 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won60% (ahead)55%
Return points won46%48% (ahead)
Aces / match1.2 (ahead)1.1
ClutchLast 16 vs 39 matches
Break points saved51%52% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:05 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast23°C · Clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity11%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jo Yee Chan vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez — W35 Redding Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/chan-vs-gonzalez-w35-redding-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).