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Salma Drugdova vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre — W35 Redding Qualifying Round of 16

W35 ReddingQ16QualifyingHardTue 13 Oct · 10:05
Salma DrugdovaWTA #877 · SVK69%
VSClear favourite · Drugdova S.
Mathilde Ngijol CarreWTA #1375 · FRA31%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Drugdova S.
69%31%

Clear edge for Drugdova S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Drugdova S.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Ngijol-Carre M.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 554
Hard ELO1 530
Last 104–6
Age21
EarningsCareer $38K2026 $4K
ELO1 503
Hard ELO1 492
Last 104–6
Age18
EarningsCareer $5K2026 $1K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Drugdova S.Ngijol-Carre M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–64–6
Season win rate57% (12–9) (ahead)38% (3–5)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1554 (ahead)1503
Hard-court ELO1530 (ahead)1492
Serve vs returnLast 20 vs 4 matches
1st-serve points won58% (ahead)51%
Return points won52% (ahead)48%
Aces / match0.31.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 20 vs 4 matches
Break points saved47%50% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:05 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast17°C · Clear
Wind23 km/h
Humidity19%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Salma Drugdova vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre — W35 Redding Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/carre-vs-drugdova-w35-redding-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).