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Maria Lourdes Carle vs Kristina Liutova — W100 Edmond Round of 32

W100 EdmondR32HardTue 13 Oct · 13:05
Maria Lourdes CarleWTA #238 · ARG48%
VSToss-up
Kristina Liutova(4)WTA #116 · RUS52%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
48%52%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Carle M.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Liutova K.7.1/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+133 Hard Elo edgeSupports Liutova K.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1681Supports Liutova K.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
CountryWon 77% in USA (65)Supports Liutova K.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 704
Hard ELO1 555
Last 105–5
Age26
EarningsCareer $1.4M2026 $181K
ELO1 741
Hard ELO1 685
Last 109–1
Age16
EarningsCareer $87K2026 $80K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Carle M.Liutova K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–59–1 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (24–24)88% (29–4) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17041741 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15551685 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 25 matches
1st-serve points won58%63% (ahead)
Return points won49%51% (ahead)
Aces / match0.8 (ahead)0.7
ClutchLast 46 vs 25 matches
Break points saved52%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:05 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast33°C · Clear
Wind22 km/h
Humidity49%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Maria Lourdes Carle vs Kristina Liutova — W100 Edmond Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/carle-vs-liutova-w100-edmond-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).