Florian Broska vs Milos Karol | Maia Round of 32

UMPIRY

MaiaR32ClayTue 13 Oct · ~16:30COURT 5 · Next on

Florian BroskaATP #334 · GER57%

VSToss-up

Milos KarolATP #583 · SVK43%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

57%43%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Broska F.4.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Karol M.5.1/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Karol M.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Karol M.

Recent run2-match win streakBoth players

Head-to-headFirst meeting on clayBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 696

Clay ELO1 629

Last 104–6

Age28

Height175 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $94K2026 $36K

ELO1 667

Clay ELO1 571

Last 106–4

Age23

Height198 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $149K2026 $12K

Florian Broska faces Milos Karol in the Maia round of 32 on clay. They have met 2 times, Milos Karol leading 2–0, though this is their first meeting on clay. Milos Karol brings the better recent clay form (6 of 10).

Key context

Fatigue load: Florian Broska carries the heavier recent load — 5 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
Head-to-head: Milos Karol leads the head-to-head 2–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at Orleans CH 2025.
Surface form: Florian Broska 4 of 10, Milos Karol 6 of 10 on clay recently — Milos Karol the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Karol M. leads 2–0

Karol M.September 2025Orleans CHHard6-3 6-4
Karol M.February 2024M15 Oberhaching 1Hard6-3 6-3

Evidence

Broska F.Karol M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–66–4

Season win rate62% (23–14)43% (10–13)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16961667

Clay-court ELO16291571

Serve vs returnLast 25 vs 13 matches

1st-serve points won69%73%

Return points won39%35%

Aces / match3.89.6

ClutchLast 25 vs 13 matches

Break points saved64%59%

When it starts

COURT 5 · Next on · Followed by

1Nedic A. v Romano F.7-6(2) 6-3
2Alcala Gurri M. v Sanchez Quilez A.3-6 4-6
3Vrbensky M. v Brancaccio R.6-3 6-1
4This match: Broska F. v Karol M.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 5 · ~16:30 local

SurfaceClay · slow

Forecast22°C · Mainly clear

Wind8 km/h

Humidity72%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Broska F.Karol M.

1Days since last match1

3Matches · 7 days2

86Games · 7 days59

3Matches · 14 days3

86Games · 14 days79

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Florian Broska vs Milos Karol — Maia Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/broska-vs-karol-maia-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).