UMPIRY
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Bianca Andreescu vs Mia Ristic — RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - Rovereto Round of 32

RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - RoveretoR32HardTue 13 Oct · 17:30 UTCCentre Court · After 3 matches
Bianca AndreescuWTA #168 · CAN66%
VSSlight edge · Andreescu B.
Mia RisticWTA #183 · SRB34%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Andreescu B.
66%34%

Andreescu B. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Andreescu B.6.8/10
Slight advantage
Ristic M.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+324 Hard Elo edgeSupports Andreescu B.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1701Supports Andreescu B.
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Andreescu B.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 829
Hard ELO1 738
Last 104–6
Age26
EarningsCareer $10.1M2026 $294K
ELO1 718
Hard ELO1 556
Last 106–4
Age20
EarningsCareer $203K2026 $122K

Bianca Andreescu faces Mia Ristic in the RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - Rovereto round of 32 on hard. Bianca Andreescu holds the paper edge — ranked #168, a roughly 320-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

  • Freshness: Bianca Andreescu comes in with 3 days of rest and 50 games in 14d, vs Mia Ristic's 17 and 0.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Bianca Andreescu has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 66 vs 19).

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Andreescu B.Ristic M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate59% (26–18)61% (36–23) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1829 (ahead)1718
Hard-court ELO1738 (ahead)1556
Serve vs returnLast 40 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)62%
Return points won44%45% (ahead)
Aces / match3.4 (ahead)1.8
ClutchLast 40 vs 53 matches
Break points saved54%56% (ahead)

When it starts

Centre Court · After 3 matches · Not before 7:30 PM

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Andreescu B.Ristic M.
3Days since last match17 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
50Games · 7 days0 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
50Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Bianca Andreescu vs Mia Ristic — RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - Rovereto Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/andreescu-vs-ristic-roveretopen-citta-della-pace-rovereto-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).