Julia Adams vs Dana Guzman — W100 Edmond Qualifying Round of 16

W100 EdmondQ16QualifyingHardTue 13 Oct · 11:35
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
53%47%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Adams J.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Guzman D.4.6/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
CountryWon 70% in USA (43)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 598
Hard ELO1 594
Last 107–3
Age27
EarningsCareer $59K2026 $22K
ELO1 612
Hard ELO1 564
Last 109–1
Age23
EarningsCareer $27K2026 $12K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Adams J.Guzman D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–39–1 (ahead)
Season win rate54% (25–21)74% (17–6) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15981612 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1594 (ahead)1564
Serve vs returnLast 40 vs 14 matches
1st-serve points won60% (ahead)58%
Return points won47%50% (ahead)
Aces / match2.1 (ahead)0.3
ClutchLast 40 vs 14 matches
Break points saved56%56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:35 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast31°C · Clear
Wind23 km/h
Humidity58%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Julia Adams vs Dana Guzman — W100 Edmond Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/adams-vs-guzman-w100-edmond-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).