Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky | Maia Qualifying Round of 16

UMPIRY

MaiaQ16QualifyingClayMon 12 Oct · ~12:30COURT 5 · After 1 match

Patrick SchoenATP #368 · SUI79%

VSClear favourite · Schoen P.

Michael VrbenskyATP #754 · CZE21%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Schoen P.

79%21%

Clear edge for Schoen P. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Schoen P.5.3/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Vrbensky M.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 9 on claySupports Schoen P.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 701

Clay ELO1 552

Last 109–1

Age21

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $31K2026 $12K

ELO1 638

Clay ELO1 619

Last 103–7

Age26

Height180 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $297K2026 $9K

Patrick Schoen faces Michael Vrbensky in the Maia qualifying round of 16 on clay. Patrick Schoen holds the paper edge — ranked #368.

Key context

Freshness: Patrick Schoen comes in with 1 days of rest and 79 games in 14d, vs Michael Vrbensky's 1 and 7.
Last match: Patrick Schoen dropped just 3 games past Guilherme Valdoleiros.
Last match: Michael Vrbensky advanced when Olle Wallin retired.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Schoen P.Vrbensky M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss9–13–7

Season win rate79% (23–6)30% (7–16)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17011638

Clay-court ELO15521619

Serve vs returnLast 27 vs 15 matches

1st-serve points won70%63%

Return points won46%38%

Aces / match3.32.7

ClutchLast 27 vs 15 matches

Break points saved62%51%

When it starts

COURT 5 · After 1 match · Followed by

1Broska F. v Perez Contri S.Starts at 11:00
2This match: Schoen P. v Vrbensky M.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 5 · ~12:30 local

SurfaceClay · slow

Forecast20°C · Partly cloudy

Wind3 km/h

Humidity73%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Schoen P.Vrbensky M.

1Days since last match1

4Matches · 7 days1

63Games · 7 days7

5Matches · 14 days1

79Games · 14 days7

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky — Maia Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/schoen-vs-vrbensky-maia-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).