Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Juncheng Shang — Jinan Round of 32

JinanR32HardMon 12 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Shang J.
33%67%

Clear edge for Shang J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sakellaridis S.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Shang J.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+132 Hard Elo edgeSupports Shang J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1746Supports Shang J.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Sakellaridis S.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 773
Hard ELO1 672
Last 104–6
Age22
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $442K2026 $226K
ELO1 888
Hard ELO1 733
Last 103–7
Age21
Height180 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $325K

Stefanos Sakellaridis faces Juncheng Shang in the Jinan round of 32 on hard. Stefanos Sakellaridis holds the paper edge — ranked #135.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Sakellaridis S.Shang J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate63% (40–23) (ahead)38% (6–10)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17731888 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16721733 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 16 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)68%
Return points won37% (ahead)33%
Aces / match7.3 (ahead)4.4
ClutchLast 54 vs 16 matches
Break points saved61%64% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast25°C · Overcast
Wind7 km/h
Humidity39%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Sakellaridis S.Shang J.
6Days since last match8 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
17Games · 7 days0 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days2
38 — fresherGames · 14 days48
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Juncheng Shang — Jinan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/sakellaridis-vs-shang-jinan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).