UMPIRY
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Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha — Maia Round of 32

MaiaR32ClayMon 12 Oct · 16:00CENTER COURT · After 2 matches
Pol Martin TiffonATP #215 · ESP79%
VSClear favourite · Martin Tiffon P.
Francisco RochaPOR21%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Martin Tiffon P.
79%21%

Clear edge for Martin Tiffon P. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Martin Tiffon P.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Rocha F.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on claySupports Martin Tiffon P.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 724
Clay ELO1 681
Last 103–7
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $405K2026 $113K
ELO1 551
Clay ELO1 497
Last 103–7
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $77K2026 $11K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Martin Tiffon P.Rocha F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–73–7
Season win rate58% (33–24) (ahead)36% (9–16)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1724 (ahead)1551
Clay-court ELO1681 (ahead)1497
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 25 matches
1st-serve points won70% (ahead)67%
Return points won39% (ahead)38%
Aces / match3.2 (ahead)3.1
ClutchLast 47 vs 25 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)56%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 2 matches · Not before 16:00

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 16:00 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast21°C · Mainly clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity68%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Martin Tiffon P.Rocha F.
5Days since last match8 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
19Games · 7 days0 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
53Games · 14 days29 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Pol Martin Tiffon vs Francisco Rocha — Maia Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/rocha-vs-tiffon-maia-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).