Adrienn Nagy vs Iva Primorac | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

Lisboa Belem Open - LisbonQ8QualifyingClayMon 12 Oct · 11:00Campo Belem · Next on

Adrienn NagyWTA #480 · HUN63%

VSSlight edge · Nagy A.

Iva PrimoracWTA #429 · CRO37%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Nagy A.

63%37%

Nagy A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Nagy A.4.2/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Primorac I.5.3/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 8 on clayAgainst the prediction · Primorac I.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayAgainst the prediction · Primorac I.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Primorac I.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 636

Clay ELO1 599

Last 107–3

Age25

EarningsCareer $113K2026 $23K

ELO1 631

Clay ELO1 611

Last 105–5

Age30

EarningsCareer $106K2026 $17K

Adrienn Nagy faces Iva Primorac in the Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon qualifying round of 8 on clay. Iva Primorac is the paper favourite — ranked #429, leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Adrienn Nagy arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on clay to Iva Primorac's 4 of 7.

Key context

Last match: Iva Primorac dropped just 5 games past Teresa Franco Dias.
Head-to-head: Iva Primorac leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W75 Vienna 1 2024.
Surface form: Adrienn Nagy 5 of 7, Iva Primorac 4 of 7 on clay recently — Adrienn Nagy the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Primorac I. leads 1–0

Primorac I.September 2024W75 Vienna 1Clay3-6 6-1 6-4

Evidence

Nagy A.Primorac I.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–35–5

Season win rate64% (25–14)63% (25–15)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16361631

Clay-court ELO15991611

Serve vs returnLast 37 vs 40 matches

1st-serve points won61%63%

Return points won49%49%

Aces / match1.41.9

ClutchLast 37 vs 40 matches

Break points saved54%50%

When it starts

Campo Belem · Next on · Starting at 11:00 AM

1This match: Nagy A. v Primorac I.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Campo Belem · 11:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast20°C · Overcast

Wind9 km/h

Humidity67%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Adrienn Nagy vs Iva Primorac — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Qualifying Round of 8", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/nagy-vs-primorac-lisboa-belem-open-lisbon-q8?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).