Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva — Jinan Round of 32

JinanR32HardTue 13 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Kotov P.
63%37%

Kotov P. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kotov P.6.0/10
Even match
Kopriva V.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+69 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Kopriva V.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1740Against the prediction · Kopriva V.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on hardInformative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Kopriva V.
ELO1 815
Hard ELO1 733
Last 107–3
Age27
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.3M2026 $59K
ELO1 821
Hard ELO1 645
Last 103–7
Age29
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $1.0M

Pavel Kotov faces Vit Kopriva in the Jinan round of 32 on hard. Vit Kopriva is the paper favourite — ranked #68, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage — but Pavel Kotov arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Vit Kopriva's 3 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Kopriva V. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Kotov P.Kopriva V.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate70% (32–14) (ahead)46% (25–29)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18151821 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1733 (ahead)1645
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 46 matches
1st-serve points won76% (ahead)69%
Return points won36%37% (ahead)
Aces / match6.6 (ahead)4.3
ClutchLast 39 vs 46 matches
Break points saved66% (ahead)61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast19°C · Drizzle
Wind15 km/h
Humidity73%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kotov P.Kopriva V.
2Days since last match4 — fresher
4Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
95Games · 7 days16 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
95Games · 14 days50 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva — Jinan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/kopriva-vs-kotov-jinan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).