Mathilde Lollia vs Loes Ebeling Koning — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Qualifying Round of 8

Lisboa Belem Open - LisbonQ8QualifyingClayMon 12 Oct · 11:00Campo Lisboa · Next on
VSClear favourite · Ebeling Koning L.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Ebeling Koning L.
23%77%

Clear edge for Ebeling Koning L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Lollia M.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Ebeling Koning L.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Lollia M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Ebeling Koning L.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 596
Clay ELO1 577
Last 106–4
Age26
EarningsCareer $37K2026 $8K
ELO1 643
Clay ELO1 636
Last 107–3
Age20
EarningsCareer $38K2026 $14K

Mathilde Lollia faces Loes Ebeling Koning in the Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon qualifying round of 8 on clay. Loes Ebeling Koning is the paper favourite — ranked #398 — but Mathilde Lollia rides a 3-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Lollia M.Ebeling Koning L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (17–15)64% (32–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15961643 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15771636 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 32 vs 44 matches
1st-serve points won60%66% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)47%
Aces / match1.53.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 32 vs 44 matches
Break points saved51%52% (ahead)

When it starts

Campo Lisboa · Next on · Starting at 11:00 AM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Campo Lisboa · 11:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity67%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mathilde Lollia vs Loes Ebeling Koning — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Qualifying Round of 8", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/koning-vs-lollia-lisboa-belem-open-lisbon-q8?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).