Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander Shevchenko

UMPIRY

JinanR32HardMon 12 Oct · 10:00

Miomir Kecmanovic(1)ATP #61 · SRB60%

VSSlight edge · Kecmanovic M.

Alexander ShevchenkoATP #111 · KAZ40%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Kecmanovic M.

60%40%

Kecmanovic M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Kecmanovic M.5.8/10

Slight disadvantage

Shevchenko A.5.1/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+67 Hard Elo edgeSupports Kecmanovic M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1768Supports Kecmanovic M.

Recent runLost last 5Informative

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Shevchenko A.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 850

Hard ELO1 715

Last 103–7

Age27

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $9.2M2026 $980K

ELO1 789

Hard ELO1 670

Last 102–8

Age25

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $727K

Miomir Kecmanovic faces Alexander Shevchenko in the Jinan round of 32 on hard. Miomir Kecmanovic holds the paper edge — ranked #61, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Miomir Kecmanovic comes in with 2 days of rest and 71 games in 14d, vs Alexander Shevchenko's 6 and 18.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Alexander Shevchenko has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 51 vs 17).
Surface form: Miomir Kecmanovic 2 of 7, Alexander Shevchenko 1 of 7 on hard recently — Miomir Kecmanovic the sharper of late.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Kecmanovic M. and Shevchenko A. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Kecmanovic M. went 2–0 (100%) against them, Shevchenko A. 1–0 (100%).

2–0100%Kecmanovic M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Shevchenko A. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

4–0Sets2–1

24–13Games15–12

0–0Deciding sets1–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Shimabukuro S.#109W6-4 6-3Winston-Salem · hardW6-4 3-6 6-2Indian Wells Masters · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kecmanovic M.Shevchenko A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–72–8

Season win rate44% (21–27)44% (25–32)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18501789

Hard-court ELO17151670

Serve vs returnLast 42 matches each

1st-serve points won71%71%

Return points won35%34%

Aces / match5.16.7

ClutchLast 42 matches each

Break points saved64%62%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast25°C · Overcast

Wind7 km/h

Humidity39%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Kecmanovic M.Shevchenko A.

2Days since last match6

2Matches · 7 days1

36Games · 7 days18

3Matches · 14 days1

71Games · 14 days18

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alexander Shevchenko — Jinan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/kecmanovic-vs-shevchenko-jinan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).