UMPIRY
EN

Milos Karol vs Oleksii Krutykh — Maia Qualifying Round of 16

MaiaQ16QualifyingClayMon 12 Oct · ~12:30CENTER COURT · After 1 match
Milos KarolATP #583 · SVK34%
VSSlight edge · Krutykh O.
Oleksii KrutykhATP #456 · UKR66%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Krutykh O.
34%66%

Krutykh O. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Karol M.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Krutykh O.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on claySupports Krutykh O.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Karol M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 663
Clay ELO1 566
Last 106–4
Age23
Height198 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $149K2026 $12K
ELO1 709
Clay ELO1 667
Last 106–4
Age26
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $347K2026 $20K

Milos Karol faces Oleksii Krutykh in the Maia qualifying round of 16 on clay. Oleksii Krutykh holds the paper edge — ranked #456. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Milos Karol comes in with 1 days of rest and 47 games in 14d, vs Oleksii Krutykh's 1 and 133.
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Karol M.Krutykh O.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate41% (9–13)67% (31–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16631709 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15661667 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 12 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)71%
Return points won34%43% (ahead)
Aces / match9.1 (ahead)2.8
ClutchLast 12 vs 39 matches
Break points saved60%60%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 1 match · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · ~12:30 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast19°C · Partly cloudy
Wind3 km/h
Humidity74%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Karol M.Krutykh O.
1Days since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
27 — fresherGames · 7 days104
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
47 — fresherGames · 14 days133
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Milos Karol vs Oleksii Krutykh — Maia Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/karol-vs-krutykh-maia-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).