Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller — San Gregorio di Catania Round of 32
Carlos Sanchez Jover faces Marvin Moeller in the San Gregorio di Catania round of 32 on clay. Marvin Moeller holds the paper edge — ranked #239, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Carlos Sanchez Jover comes in with 4 days of rest and 75 games in 14d, vs Marvin Moeller's 4 and 55.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Marvin Moeller has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 48 vs 28).
- Surface form: Carlos Sanchez Jover 5 of 10, Marvin Moeller 6 of 10 on clay recently — Marvin Moeller the sharper of late.
Live Win Probability
i—Sanchez Jover C.
—Moeller M.
Carlos Sanchez JoverMarvin Moeller
Serve flowSanchez Jover C. broken twice · Moeller M. broken once.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Sanchez Jover C.2/4Moeller M.2/3
Set 1
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsSanchez Jover C.Moeller M.Swinging toMoeller M.84
2Last 12 points10
6Last 3 games10
1/1Break points2/3
30 pointsNow
Break of serve
Key moments
Latest first- BREAKSet 1 · Game 7Moeller M. broke serve
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 6Moeller M. held to love
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 2Sanchez Jover C. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 1Moeller M. broke serve
Pre-match context
Sanchez Jover C. came in with the higher clay rating (1708 vs 1692); Moeller M. with the better recent record (6–4 vs 5–5).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
52%48%
Umpiry Score
5.9/10/106.4
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Sanchez Jover C.Moeller M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate58% (30–22)70% (32–14) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17401752 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO1708 (ahead)1692
Serve vs returnLast 37 vs 33 matches
1st-serve points won63%70% (ahead)
Return points won43% (ahead)41%
Aces / match1.83.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 37 vs 33 matches
Break points saved61%66% (ahead)
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Marvin Moeller — San Gregorio di Catania Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/jover-vs-moeller-san-gregorio-di-catania-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).