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Gina Feistel vs Tena Lukas — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Qualifying Round of 8

Lisboa Belem Open - LisbonQ8QualifyingClayMon 12 Oct · 11:00Estadio CIF · Next on
Gina FeistelWTA #331 · POL30%
VSClear favourite · Lukas T.
Tena LukasWTA #414 · CRO70%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Lukas T.
30%70%

Clear edge for Lukas T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Feistel G.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Lukas T.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on clayInformative
Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Feistel G.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 503
Clay ELO1 495
Last 102–4
Age23
EarningsCareer $85K2026 $27K
ELO1 635
Clay ELO1 615
Last 105–5
Age31
EarningsCareer $431K2026 $20K

Gina Feistel faces Tena Lukas in the Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon qualifying round of 8 on clay. Gina Feistel is the paper favourite — ranked #331 — but Tena Lukas arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Gina Feistel's 1 of 5.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Feistel G.Lukas T.
FormLast 6 vs 10 matches · 2026
Win–loss2–45–5 (ahead)
Season win rate33% (2–4)54% (28–24) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15031635 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO14951615 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 5 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won55%63% (ahead)
Return points won46%47% (ahead)
Aces / match1.02.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 5 vs 49 matches
Break points saved50%50%

When it starts

Estadio CIF · Next on · Starting at 11:00 AM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Estadio CIF · 11:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity67%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Gina Feistel vs Tena Lukas — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Qualifying Round of 8", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/feistel-vs-lukas-lisboa-belem-open-lisbon-q8?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).