Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea | Wuhan Round of 128

UMPIRY

WuhanR128HardTue 13 Oct · ~12:30Dongfeng Voyah Center Court · After 1 match

Hanyu GuoWTA #240 · CHN24%

VSClear favourite · Cirstea S.

Sorana Cirstea(12)WTA #16 · ROU76%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Cirstea S.

24%76%

Clear edge for Cirstea S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Guo H.4.5/10

Heavy underdog

Cirstea S.7.4/10

Dominant favourite

Why

Surface+322 Hard Elo edgeSupports Cirstea S.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1956Supports Cirstea S.

Recent runLost last 5Informative

This eventReached the R32 here last yearSupports Cirstea S.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative

ELO1 705

Hard ELO1 639

Last 104–6

Age28

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $901K

ELO2 064

Hard ELO1 917

Last 106–4

Age36

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $12.7M2026 $1.8M

Hanyu Guo faces Sorana Cirstea in the Wuhan round of 128 on hard. Sorana Cirstea holds the paper edge — ranked #16, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 320-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Stage: Sorana Cirstea defends last year's round of 32.
Fatigue load: Hanyu Guo carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Guo H. and Cirstea S. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Guo H. went 0–3 (0%) against them, Cirstea S. 3–0 (100%). Cirstea S. came out better against 3 of 3 comparable opponents, Guo H. against 0.

0–30%Guo H. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents3–0100%Cirstea S. · better vs 3

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

2–6Sets5–1

35–43Games36–24

0–2Tiebreaks1–0

0–2Deciding sets1–0

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

vs Bondar A.#66L3-6 6-3 6-7Guangzhou · hardW7-6 6-2Rouen · clay
vs Wang X.#91L6-7 3-6Wimbledon · grassW6-3Roland Garros · clay
vs Inglis M.#130L3-6 6-2 2-6London · grassW6-4 5-7 6-2London · grass

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Guo H.Cirstea S.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–66–4

Season win rate52% (16–15)72% (39–15)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17052064

Hard-court ELO16391917

Serve vs returnLast 30 vs 51 matches

1st-serve points won62%68%

Return points won45%46%

Aces / match1.44.4

ClutchLast 30 vs 51 matches

Break points saved60%57%

When it starts

Dongfeng Voyah Center Court · After 1 match · Followed by

1Siniakova K. v Samsonova L.Starting at 11:00 AM
2This match: Guo H. v Cirstea S.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Dongfeng Voyah Center Court · ~12:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast24°C · Clear

Wind11 km/h

Humidity62%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea — Wuhan Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/cirstea-vs-guo-wuhan-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).