Clara Burel vs Lina Gjorcheska | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

Lisboa Belem Open - LisbonR32ClayMon 12 Oct · 13:00Campo Lisboa · After 1 match

Clara BurelWTA #218 · FRA77%

VSClear favourite · Burel C.

Lina GjorcheskaWTA #346 · MKD23%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Burel C.

77%23%

Clear edge for Burel C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Burel C.6.5/10

Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Gjorcheska L.5.2/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form7 of last 10 on claySupports Burel C.

Recent run3-match win streakSupports Burel C.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayInformative

Surface switchHard → ClaySupports Burel C.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 798

Clay ELO1 643

Last 107–3

Age25

Height176 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.7M2026 $134K

ELO1 686

Clay ELO1 648

Last 102–8

Age32

Height180 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $637K2026 $186K

Clara Burel faces Lina Gjorcheska in the Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon round of 32 on clay. Clara Burel holds the paper edge — ranked #218. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Clara Burel ahead 1–0 on clay.

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Clara Burel rising, Lina Gjorcheska cooling.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1, 1–0 on clay. Last met at W80 Wiesbaden 2021.
Surface form: Clara Burel 5 of 8, Lina Gjorcheska 2 of 8 on clay recently — Clara Burel the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1

Clay: Burel C. leads 1–0 · Hard: Gjorcheska L. leads 1–0

Burel C.September 2021W80 WiesbadenClay4-6 6-4 6-4
Gjorcheska L.January 2020W15 Stuttgart-Stammheim 1Hard2-6 6-4 6-1

Evidence

Burel C.Gjorcheska L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–32–8

Season win rate58% (15–11)43% (12–16)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17981686

Clay-court ELO16431648

Serve vs returnLast 24 vs 26 matches

1st-serve points won59%64%

Return points won50%45%

Aces / match1.62.8

ClutchLast 24 vs 26 matches

Break points saved59%55%

When it starts

Campo Lisboa · After 1 match · Not before 1:00 PM

1Lollia M. v Ebeling Koning L.Starting at 11:00 AM
2This match: Burel C. v Gjorcheska L.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Campo Lisboa · 13:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast22°C · Partly cloudy

Wind8 km/h

Humidity59%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Burel C.Gjorcheska L.

21Days since last match20

0Matches · 7 days0

0Games · 7 days0

0Matches · 14 days0

0Games · 14 days0

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Clara Burel vs Lina Gjorcheska — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/burel-vs-gjorcheska-lisboa-belem-open-lisbon-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).