Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Barton H.
62%38%
Barton H. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Barton H.6.1/10
Even match
Mrva M.6.1/10
Even match
Why
Surface+6 Hard Elo edgeSupports Barton H.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1570Supports Barton H.
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Barton H.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 735
Hard ELO1 622
Last 105–5
Age22
EarningsCareer $184K2026 $54K
ELO1 691
Hard ELO1 568
Last 106–4
Age19
EarningsCareer $116K2026 $50K
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Barton H.Mrva M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (37–28) (ahead)56% (32–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1735 (ahead)1691
Hard-court ELO1622 (ahead)1568
Serve vs returnLast 40 vs 33 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)63%
Return points won37%45% (ahead)
Aces / match6.1 (ahead)2.6
ClutchLast 40 vs 33 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)54%
Draw
Odds
Conditions
11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-slow
Forecast22°C · Mainly clear
Wind13 km/h
Humidity48%
Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.
Freshness
Last 7 & 14 days
Barton H.Mrva M.
3Days since last match18 — fresher
4Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
102Games · 7 days0 — fresher
5Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
123Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.
Cite this
Umpiry, "Hynek Barton vs Maxim Mrva — Olbia Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/barton-vs-mrva-olbia-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).