Gauthier Onclin vs Felix Balshaw — Roanne Round of 32

RoanneR32HardMon 12 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
54%46%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Onclin G.6.0/10
Even match
Balshaw F.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+154 Hard Elo edgeSupports Onclin G.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1567Supports Onclin G.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Onclin G.
Recent runLost last 2Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 739
Hard ELO1 658
Last 104–6
Age25
EarningsCareer $672K2026 $155K
ELO1 664
Hard ELO1 574
Last 107–3
Age20
EarningsCareer $76K2026 $58K

Gauthier Onclin faces Felix Balshaw in the Roanne round of 32 on hard. Gauthier Onclin is the paper favourite — ranked #168, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage — but Felix Balshaw arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on hard to Gauthier Onclin's 4 of 9.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Onclin G.Balshaw F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–67–3 (ahead)
Season win rate56% (25–20)65% (28–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1739 (ahead)1664
Hard-court ELO1658 (ahead)1574
Serve vs returnLast 32 vs 24 matches
1st-serve points won70%76% (ahead)
Return points won39% (ahead)37%
Aces / match2.19.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 32 vs 24 matches
Break points saved57%62% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast9°C · Mainly clear
Wind1 km/h
Humidity87%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Onclin G.Balshaw F.
5Days since last match5
1Matches · 7 days1
27 — fresherGames · 7 days34
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
65 — fresherGames · 14 days130
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Gauthier Onclin vs Felix Balshaw — Roanne Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/balshaw-vs-onclin-roanne-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).