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Jakub Paul vs Niels Mcdonald — Roanne Qualifying Round of 32

RoanneQ32QualifyingHardSun 11 Oct · 14:00Final
Jakub PaulSUI
Niels McdonaldATP #491 · GER
SetsGames2
6627
1
3775

Jakub Paul defeated Niels Mcdonald 6-3, 6-7, 7-5 in the qualifying second round of the Roanne hard-court tournament. Paul hit 0 aces and 1 double fault, while Mcdonald had 3 aces and 5 double faults. Paul converted 44% of his break points, compared to Mcdonald's 22%.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Jakub Paul closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 7–5.

How the match was decided

Auto-generated

Paul J. came through in three sets, with four breaks of serve.

  • Breaks of servePaul J. 4 · McDonald N. 2
  • 1st-serve points wonPaul J. 64% · McDonald N. 72%
  • AcesPaul J. 0 · McDonald N. 3

Turning points

When the match moved
  1. Set 14–2BreakPaul J. · Broke, never broken back
  2. Set 25–5Break backMcDonald N. · Broke back
  3. Set 35–5Break backPaul J. · Broke back
  4. Set 37–5SetPaul J. · Broke to take the set

Win probability during the match

i
25%Paul J.
75%McDonald N.
Final · 6–3 6–7 7–5
1–01–12–12–23–24–25–26–31–12–24–25–35–56–71–12–23–37–56–3Set 2 · 6–7S3 · 7–5S1 · 6–3Set 3 · 7–5Set 1 · 6–3
  1. Break by Paul J.
  2. Set won by Paul J.
  3. Break by Paul J.
  4. Break by McDonald N.
  5. Set won by McDonald N.
  6. Break by McDonald N.
  7. Set won by Paul J.
Jakub PaulNiels Mcdonald
Recorded during the match
Serve flowPaul J. broken twice · McDonald N. broken 4 times.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Paul J.
15/17McDonald N.
12/16
Set 1Set 2Set 3

Match momentum

Whole matchPaul J.McDonald N.
EvenPaul J.McDonald N.
Late momentumPaul J.15
8Last 12 points4
13Last 3 games6
3/8Break points2/9

Break of serve

Match statistics

Paul J.McDonald N.
Serve
  • 0Aces3
  • 1Double faults5
  • 64%1st serve points won72%
  • 88% · 15/17Service games held75% · 12/16
Return
  • 44%Break points won22%
  • 4Breaks of serve2

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Paul J. leads 1–0
10

Draw

Closing odds

Player context

Before the match
Paul J.McDonald N.1 706ELO1 5151 625Hard ELO1 4855–5Last 104–627Age18Career $399K2026 $8KEarningsCareer $53K2026 $41K

Match info

  • Started14:00 local

Cite this

Jakub Paul beat Niels Mcdonald 6-3 6-7(2) 7-5. Umpiry, "Jakub Paul vs Niels Mcdonald — Roanne Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-11/mcdonald-vs-paul-roanne-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 11 October 2026).