Francesco Passaro vs Yanaki Milev — Palermo Semi-final

PalermoSemi-finalClaySat 10 Oct · 18:00CENTER COURT (1) · After 1 match
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Passaro F.
67%33%

Clear edge for Passaro F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Passaro F.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Milev Y.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form8 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Milev Y.
Recent run5-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Milev Y.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Passaro F.
Opponent formOpponent hot: 8 of last 10Against the prediction · Milev Y.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 836
Clay ELO1 728
Last 107–3
Age25
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.5M2026 $100K
ELO1 653
Clay ELO1 631
Last 108–2
Age22
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $88K2026 $10K

Francesco Passaro faces Yanaki Milev in the Palermo semi-final on clay. Francesco Passaro is the paper favourite — ranked #229 — but Yanaki Milev arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay to Francesco Passaro's 4 of 6.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Passaro F.Milev Y.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–38–2 (ahead)
Season win rate56% (20–16)66% (19–10) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1836 (ahead)1653
Clay-court ELO1728 (ahead)1631
Serve vs returnLast 24 vs 22 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)65%
Return points won38%44% (ahead)
Aces / match4.5 (ahead)2.0
ClutchLast 24 vs 22 matches
Break points saved62%66% (ahead)

When it starts

CENTER COURT (1) · After 1 match · Not before 6:00 PM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT (1) · 18:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast23°C · Overcast
Wind18 km/h
Humidity55%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Passaro F.Milev Y.
1Days since last match1
3 — fresherMatches · 7 days5
68 — fresherGames · 7 days115
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
68 — fresherGames · 14 days115
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Francesco Passaro vs Yanaki Milev — Palermo Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-10/milev-vs-passaro-palermo-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 10 October 2026).