Elmer Moller vs Vilius Gaubas — Braga Semi-final

BragaSemi-finalClaySat 10 Oct · ~12:30CENTRE COURTLive
Odds

Breaks traded in the 2ndMoller E. broken once · Gaubas V. broken once

Elmer Moller faces Vilius Gaubas in the Braga semi-final on clay. Elmer Moller holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Serve flowMoller E. broken once · Gaubas V. broken 3 times.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Moller E.
6/7Gaubas V.
4/7
Set 1Set 2

Match momentum

Last 30 pointsMoller E.Gaubas V.
EvenMoller E.Gaubas V.
Swinging toMoller E.15
7Last 12 points5
14Last 3 games11
2/7Break points1/9
30 pointsNow

Break of serve

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Moller E.Gaubas V.
Serve
  • 0Aces0
  • 0Double faults1
  • 62%1st serve points won61%
  • 86% · 6/7Service games held57% · 4/7
Return
  • 40%Break points won0%
  • 3Breaks of serve1

Key moments

Latest first
  1. BREAKSet 2 · Game 5Moller E. broke serve
  2. BREAKSet 2 · Game 4Gaubas V. broke serve
  3. SETSet 1 · Game 8Moller E. took the set
  4. BREAKSet 1 · Game 7Moller E. broke serve
  5. BREAKSet 1 · Game 5Moller E. broke serve
Pre-match context

Moller E. came in with the higher clay rating (1733 vs 1713); Gaubas V. with the better recent record (6–4 vs 4–6); Moller E. with the head-to-head lead (1–0).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
43%57%
Umpiry Score
5.3/10/104.9
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO1 776
Clay ELO1 733
Last 104–6
Age23
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $742K2026 $170K
ELO1 831
Clay ELO1 713
Last 106–4
Age21
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $897K2026 $413K

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Moller E. and Gaubas V. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Moller E. went 1–1 (50%) against them, Gaubas V. 1–1 (50%).

1–150%Moller E. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–150%Gaubas V. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–2Sets2–2
22–22Games16–20
1–1Tiebreaks0–0

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Moller E. leads 1–0
10

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · Clutch
ShowHide
Moller E.Gaubas V.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate48% (21–23)56% (33–26) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17761831 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO1733 (ahead)1713
Serve vs returnLast 26 vs 41 matches
1st-serve points won61%66% (ahead)
Return points won40% (ahead)38%
Aces / match2.13.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 26 vs 41 matches
Break points saved55%64% (ahead)

Draw

Conditions

CENTRE COURT · ~12:30 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Weather21°C · Overcast
Wind3 km/h
Humidity54%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Match info

  • Started~12:30 local

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Moller E.Gaubas V.
1Days since last match1
3Matches · 7 days3
88Games · 7 days70 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days3 — fresher
107Games · 14 days70 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elmer Moller vs Vilius Gaubas — Braga Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-10/gaubas-vs-moller-braga-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 10 October 2026).