Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Palermo Semi-final
Jonas Forejtek faces Alejandro Moro Canas in the Palermo semi-final on clay. Alejandro Moro Canas holds the paper edge — ranked #233, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Jonas Forejtek 114 games in 14 days, Alejandro Moro Canas 68.
- Last match: Alejandro Moro Canas edged Massimo Giunta in three tight sets (6–4 6–7 7–6).
- Surface form: Jonas Forejtek 7 of 10, Alejandro Moro Canas 8 of 10 on clay recently — Alejandro Moro Canas the sharper of late.
Serve flowForejtek J. broken once · Moro Canas A. broken twice.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Forejtek J.10/11Moro Canas A.9/11
Set 1Set 2
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsForejtek J.Moro Canas A.Swinging toForejtek J.31
7Last 12 points5
11Last 3 games10
2/4Break points0/2
30 pointsNow
Break of serve
Key moments
Latest first- SETSet 2 · Game 10Forejtek J. took the set
- BREAKSet 2 · Game 7Forejtek J. broke serve
- HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 3Moro Canas A. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 10Moro Canas A. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 8Moro Canas A. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 7Forejtek J. held to love
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 5Moro Canas A. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 4Forejtek J. broke serve
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 2Moro Canas A. held to love
Pre-match context
Moro Canas A. came in with the higher clay rating (1680 vs 1677) and the better recent record (8–2 vs 7–3).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
45%55%
Umpiry Score
5.0/10/106.0
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Forejtek J.Moro Canas A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–38–2 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (29–22)59% (40–28) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17231770 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16771680 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 54 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)66%
Return points won41% (ahead)40%
Aces / match3.7 (ahead)3.2
ClutchLast 43 vs 54 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)62%
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Palermo Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-10/canas-vs-forejtek-palermo-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 10 October 2026).