Fajing Sun vs Alibek Kachmazov — Wuning 3 Quarter-final
Fajing Sun faces Alibek Kachmazov in the Wuning 3 quarter-final on hard. Fajing Sun is the paper favourite — ranked #303 — but Alibek Kachmazov has won both their previous meetings. Alibek Kachmazov brings the better recent hard form (10 of 10).
Key context
- Under pressure: Alibek Kachmazov has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 49 vs Fajing Sun's 5).
- Last match: Alibek Kachmazov won all two sets in tiebreaks against Evan Zhu.
- Last match: Fajing Sun edged Kasidit Samrej in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).
Serve flowSun F. broken twice · Kachmazov A. unbroken.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Sun F.5/7Kachmazov A.7/7
Set 1Set 2
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsSun F.Kachmazov A.Swinging toSun F.10
6Last 12 points6
19Last 3 games23
0/8Break points2/9
30 pointsNow
Key moments
Latest first- BREAKSet 2 · Game 1Kachmazov A. broke serve
- SETSet 1 · Game 9Kachmazov A. took the set
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 9Kachmazov A. held to love
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 2Kachmazov A. broke serve
Pre-match context
Kachmazov A. came in with the higher hard rating (1669 vs 1652), the better recent record (10–0 vs 5–5) and the head-to-head lead (2–0).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
48%52%
Umpiry Score
4.8/10/105.0
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
2 meetings · Kachmazov A. leads 2–002
- Kachmazov A.April 2025Guangzhou CHHard6-4 7-6
- Kachmazov A.October 2023Shenzhen CHHard6-3 7-6
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Sun F.Kachmazov A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–510–0 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (29–26)71% (15–6) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16901720 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16521669 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 31 vs 3 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)66%
Return points won38%38%
Aces / match3.55.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 31 vs 3 matches
Break points saved66% (ahead)41%
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Fajing Sun vs Alibek Kachmazov — Wuning 3 Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-09/kachmazov-vs-sun-wuning-3-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 9 October 2026).